Careless-Covariate
0x4c79cb8a53fcbe2650fa69df44d984259021a3d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$96.51
Total PnL
$-6.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 47.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$44.55
$-5.45
- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$29.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
43 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$22.54
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.07Jun 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.67Jun 2, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.78Jun 2, 06:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $34.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 06:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".