Experienced-Heifer
0x4c83845f7c5c8e7edeb0bc7e8393e19a06e7ca26
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$121.84
Total PnL
$-506.83
Realised
$-18.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$71.43
$70.43
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
48 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$48.00
$1.14
- YES
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
2 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
4000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
1616 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.33
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
1551 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
892 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-317.56
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 7?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$46.86Feb 25, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?$2.00Feb 25, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$53.33Feb 25, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$68.00Feb 25, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$13.16Feb 25, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$15.14Feb 25, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?$20.41Feb 25, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$30.03Feb 25, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$15.00Dec 7, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 7?$100.00Dec 7, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$10.00Dec 7, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$30.00Dec 7, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?$20.00Jul 31, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$10.57Jul 31, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$23.34Jul 31, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in 2024?$30.09Jul 31, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$10.00Dec 29, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?$20.00Dec 29, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $39.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.