0x4c8585198bd894b9612828fbc8fea041075e38b0
0x4c8585198bd894b9612828fbc8fea041075e38b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$29.68
Total PnL
$-162.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Senators
4 shares @ 36.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$4.07
$2.56
- YES
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$3.89
$1.75
- MAGIC
Cavaliers vs. Magic
4 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$3.75
$2.25
- UNDER
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5
3 shares @ 48.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$3.07
$1.57
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
29 shares @ 10.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.04
$-0.07
- YES
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$1.27
- MAPLE LEAFS
Ducks vs. Maple Leafs
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$2.94
$1.44
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.32
$1.09
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6 shares @ 25.5¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.40
$-0.02
- YES
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
29 shares @ 5.6¢·now 4.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.34
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.31Mar 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hornets (-13.5)$1.17Mar 12, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Kings$1.50Mar 11, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Jazz$1.50Mar 11, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Magic$1.50Mar 11, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Kings$1.95Mar 11, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Kings$2.37Mar 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5$1.50Mar 11, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Kings$3.19Mar 11, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raptors (-2.5)$1.50Mar 11, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Senators$1.50Mar 11, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Nuggets$1.50Mar 11, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Maple Leafs$1.50Mar 11, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Flyers$1.50Mar 11, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.42Mar 11, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.08Mar 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$2.62Mar 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$5.78Mar 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.73Mar 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.97Mar 11, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 04:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".