Incredible-Inversion
0x4c8843aec79696b0072b57b9860598927936f583
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-387.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
179 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-99.94
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4PM ET
123 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-94.14
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 5PM ET
86 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 16, 7PM ET
70 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET
56 shares @ 67.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-37.26
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET
54 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$99.94Sep 23, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$99.94Sep 23, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$55.52Sep 23, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$10.00Sep 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$65.52Sep 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$40.27Sep 23, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 23?$40.26Sep 23, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 23?$28.99Sep 22, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Syria by September 15?$1.00Sep 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on September 13?$5.00Sep 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $5.00Sep 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.56Sep 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET$6.30Jul 17, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET$6.31Jul 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET$30.96Jul 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET$20.00Jul 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET$5.00Jul 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET$10.00Jul 17, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 17, 5AM ET$0.01Jul 17, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 5AM ET$0.00Jul 17, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 23, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".