Pale-Alarm
0x4c8908b6b8c1764b5c550f708b3f8e1b2dad4300
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.70Dec 2, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.70Dec 1, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.69Nov 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.03Nov 25, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.03Nov 25, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.69Nov 25, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.20Nov 22, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.68Nov 21, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.68Nov 21, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.70Nov 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.19Nov 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.70Nov 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.19Nov 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$1.10Nov 11, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$1.30Nov 8, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.40Nov 8, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$1.10Nov 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$1.30Nov 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.2KOct 13, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Oct 13, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $567.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 18:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.