Unrealistic-Thunder
0x4c898a5205d722a5092afbfa47def51315e2a0ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$3.14
Total PnL
$-17.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
2 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDave Portnoy in jail in 2025?$0.96Nov 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$0.97Nov 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTexas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?$0.98Nov 26, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025?$0.98Nov 26, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$0.99Nov 26, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLToken Launch Party Parlay$0.95Nov 26, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSenate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?$0.97Nov 26, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHayden Davis in jail in 2025?$0.99Nov 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBybit insolvent in 2025?$0.99Nov 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?$0.99Nov 26, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.50 by December 31?$0.94Nov 26, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTether insolvent in 2025?$0.99Nov 26, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla reach $615 in November?$0.99Nov 26, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hard fork before 2026?$0.98Nov 26, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $300 in November?$1.00Nov 26, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$0.99Nov 26, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 26, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".