Staid-Sorrel
0x4c8b4f69fe57aa2de5be103002066e0203951614
Quality score
60/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$101.93
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$572.36
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
269 shares @ 6.3¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.21
$6.21
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
110 shares @ 9.1¢·now 12.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.20
$3.20
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.39
$1.39
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
483 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.93
$-1.07
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?
118 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.27
$-1.73
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
33 shares @ 30.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$8.10
$-1.89
- YES
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.88
$2.88
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WI-02 House seat?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.88
$-3.13
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?
130 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.06
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.75
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.4710d ago
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.4810d ago
- TRADESELLWill Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.2410d ago
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 30 above $210?$9.5023d ago
- TRADESELLWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 30 above $210?$2.1623d ago
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?$0.1224d ago
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of March?$2.4824d ago
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?$4.8824d ago
- REDEEMNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 30?$4.9924d ago
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?$5.0024d ago
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of March?$5.0024d ago
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of March?$5.5924d ago
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of March?$5.8224d ago
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of March?$5.8824d ago
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March?$9.7724d ago
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March?$15.3324d ago
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of March?$21.9024d ago
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of March?$22.7224d ago
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of March?$25.0024d ago
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$29.8324d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $13.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 26d ago
- Last active
- 10d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.