Shadowy-Playroom
0x4c8d2c2ade341f560a54626f1aec01add54739cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$244.90
Total PnL
$-205.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$112.36
$12.36
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$103.09
$3.09
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
508 shares @ 9.8¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.45
$-20.55
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Dogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?
121 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$143.00Jan 26, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?$169.44Jan 14, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$294.12Jan 14, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,800 January 5-11?$1.33Jan 9, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 January 5-11?$10.00Jan 8, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.15 on January 8?$100.00Jan 7, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$100.00Jan 7, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$10.10Jan 7, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?$100.00Jan 6, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$50.00Jan 6, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$100.00Jan 6, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$100.00Jan 6, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$100.00Jan 5, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$100.00Jan 5, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$10.00Jan 5, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$100.00Jan 5, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $70.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".