Gruesome-Federation
0x4c8d3630ba6cc2ef8edad8bea12aed0effe90ae5
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-3.48
Realised
$-1.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
620 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$620.02
$1.89
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
330 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$330.00
$0.33
- NO
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
313 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$313.25
$3.45
- YES
Will Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025?
555 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?
430 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?
300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.38Mar 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.53Mar 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$329.67Mar 25, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$618.14Mar 22, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max McGreevy win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$450.00Mar 19, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max McGreevy win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$449.55Mar 12, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?$3.01Nov 12, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $240 on October 14?$300.00Oct 29, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$440.00Oct 29, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 6?$600.00Oct 29, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $240 on October 14?$299.70Oct 14, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$239.52Oct 14, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$239.76Oct 14, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$439.56Oct 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India?$2.10Sep 25, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 6?$599.40Aug 6, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025?$2.30Jul 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$39.31Jul 5, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$47.93Jul 5, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.86Jul 5, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $605.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".