Dense-Standoff
0x4c8ed7ead1ac18338f816e964b1edde8a50eb38f
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.03
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$235.44
Win rate
37%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
3768 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 12, 2026$9.42
$-6.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
3123 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.68
$-4.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
3023 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.51
$-7.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1371 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.69
$-4.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1345 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.67
$-2.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
903 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.45
$-2.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
177 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.26
$-0.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.25
$-0.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.25
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.3022m ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.126h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 9?$35.156h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$366.407h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$500.507h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.598h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on May 8?$12.338h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.138h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.128h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.128h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 9?$35.129h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.099h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.369h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.229h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.089h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.279h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.779h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.089h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.369h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.6610h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $20.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 19h ago
- Last active
- 22m ago
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
