Valid-Bulb
0x4c903615df730bc0592ccb7120738fa53e2e6478
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$25.53
Total PnL
$2.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on November 17?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$4.35
$3.35
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$2.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 17?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.58
$0.38
- NO
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.34
$0.04
- UP
XRP Up or Down on November 17?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$1.28
$0.08
- YES
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$1.19
$0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2025-11-17?$1.20Nov 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2025-11-17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madagascar win on 2025-11-17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$1.30Nov 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?$2.00Nov 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$2.00Nov 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on November 17?$1.20Nov 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?$0.00Nov 17, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?$0.00Nov 17, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET$1.12Nov 17, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET$1.14Nov 17, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?$1.19Nov 17, 15:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 20:44 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".