0x4c96139a5b6ecf6b514378202163fe132840e4b4
0x4c96139a5b6ecf6b514378202163fe132840e4b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.03
Total PnL
$-218.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
7641 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.45
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
711 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?
509 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
468 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
404 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?
347 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.30 December 1-7?
134 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jan 14, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$3.00Dec 5, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$3.00Dec 5, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Dec 5, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 5, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 5, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Dec 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 6?$10.00Dec 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?$10.00Dec 5, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.30 December 1-7?$10.00Dec 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Dec 5, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 5, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.30 December 1-7?$10.00Dec 5, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.