Short-Arm
0x4c99e82286be2e4ddb7b269a815aa2d8a73a02ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-140.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
271 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
221 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
169 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
150 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
138 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
90 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on March 9?
84 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
62 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 9?$9.50Mar 9, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 9?$7.24Mar 9, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 9?$2.76Mar 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Insider" this week? (March 8)$10.00Mar 8, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)$17.00Mar 8, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$3.00Mar 1, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.00Mar 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$3.00Mar 1, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$2.00Mar 1, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$3.33Mar 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$8.00Mar 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2.00Feb 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$18.17Feb 28, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.00Feb 28, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$52.37Feb 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$6.26Feb 28, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $9.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".