Wary-Goddess
0x4c9a78842bfa788a95bb52e3009790dbb04020b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-515.28
Realised
$-92.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Taylor Fritz?
779 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-353.00
- YES
Will Trump say “Drill Baby Drill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Taylor Fritz?$155.00Jul 11, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Taylor Fritz?$198.00Jul 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$21.43Jul 10, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) $40.00Jul 10, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) $20.00Jul 10, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) $26.92Jul 10, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) $100.00Jul 10, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Drill Baby Drill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$50.00Jul 4, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$0.00Jun 27, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$0.82Jun 27, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$20.00Jun 26, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$36.32Jun 26, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$70.00Jun 26, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$203.54Jun 25, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$20.00Jun 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$20.00Jun 25, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$262.14Jun 23, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei seen in public before July?$66.39Jun 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$99.00Jun 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public before July?$100.00Jun 20, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $79.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.