Plastic-Duck
0x4c9affa3a4f5ba6b9ab3dd272c20e47ea47e0cd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$894.05
Total PnL
$232.56
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
67%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
501 shares @ 22.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$449.01
$334.49
- NO
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
299 shares @ 83.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$224.34
$-23.91
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
135 shares @ 62.6¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$124.87
$40.52
- KAMILLA RAKHIMOVA
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$57.50
$1.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
36 shares @ 30.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.18
$18.42
- OKSANA SELEKHMETEVA
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
14 shares @ 52.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$6.06
$-1.36
- YES
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
47 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.05
$-2.11
- ALYCIA PARKS
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks
89 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.04
$-33.80
- FOKUS
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner
377 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-163.58
- YES
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score
300 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-90.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$56.00Jun 20, 18:28 UTC
- MERGELexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$85.73Jun 20, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$2.73Jun 20, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$42.65Jun 20, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$52.00Jun 20, 18:23 UTC
- MERGELexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$224.12Jun 20, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$12.30Jun 20, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$60.00Jun 20, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$77.00Jun 20, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$13.00Jun 20, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMHalle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe$170.00Jun 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$45.00Jun 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$65.00Jun 20, 18:04 UTC
- MERGELexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$100.00Jun 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Alycia Parks$58.00Jun 20, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$10.10Jun 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe$95.30Jun 20, 17:34 UTC
- MERGEHalle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe$230.00Jun 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe$94.10Jun 20, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe$1.50Jun 20, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
75/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
55 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $37.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 18:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.