Plastic-Duck
0x4c9affa3a4f5ba6b9ab3dd272c20e47ea47e0cd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
76%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
213 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- LILLI TAGGER
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Tagger
212 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-134.04
- VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
210 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-83.16
- OVER
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5
209 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-105.71
- EMILIO NAVA
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs Hamish Stewart
205 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-86.64
- ALEXANDER ZVEREV
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz
201 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-37.43
- PEYTON STEARNS
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Kimberly Birrell
200 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-89.86
- UNDER
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
200 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- UNDER
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- EMILY APPLETON
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Emily Appleton
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?$1.38Aug 6, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?$24.08Aug 6, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?$2.17Aug 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 7?$14.16Aug 6, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 7?$19.20Aug 6, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 7?$20.80Aug 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?$5.47Aug 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?$1.70Aug 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7?$20.40Aug 6, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 7?$20.40Aug 6, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?$19.60Aug 6, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?$22.80Aug 6, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 7?$16.40Aug 6, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$10.80Aug 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$30.00Aug 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8?$18.91Aug 6, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?$0.40Aug 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of August 3 2026?$6.00Aug 6, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?$18.85Aug 6, 01:31 UTC
- REWARD$15.29Aug 6, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
80/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
49 closed markets, 76% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.