Cheap-Illusion
0x4c9e2a61020c27a9ccaf1a686310633e0e4f849d
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$14.67
Total PnL
$-7.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?
7 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$7.11
$0.11
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$5.26
$0.27
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$2.29
$0.30
- YES
Will Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Silkeborg IF vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$111.00Mar 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?$7.00Mar 18, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?$5.00Mar 18, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?$2.00Mar 18, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silkeborg IF vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?$3.00Mar 16, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$111.00Mar 16, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released in 2025?$89.50Mar 16, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released in 2025?$87.53Oct 7, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandra Leitão be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$5.00Oct 7, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$92.53Oct 7, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$92.35Jun 30, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?$0.00Jun 30, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$90.27Jun 30, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?$1.00Mar 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Captain America: Brave New World' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$90.00Mar 8, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?$21.15Mar 8, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$71.93Mar 8, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$71.00Jan 24, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$51.00Jan 24, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$90.00Jan 24, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $103.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 20:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 19:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.