Knotty-Airfare
0x4ca028b4cd896c7289dbeaf36cc200f6152e1ea2
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$8.31
Total PnL
$-18.99
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.10
$0.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 30?
5198 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 24?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 8?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 6?
1073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?
1066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 28?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,300 on February 1?
1037 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.24Jun 10, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Jun 10, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.04Jun 9, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.06May 21, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.04May 13, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.24May 5, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.07May 5, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.47May 5, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.06Apr 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.39Apr 10, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?$2.13Mar 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 8?$2.15Mar 8, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 6?$2.15Mar 6, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 28?$2.11Feb 28, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 24?$2.18Feb 24, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?$1.1KFeb 15, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?$1.1KFeb 14, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 13?$1.1KFeb 14, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 13?$1.1KFeb 13, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 12?$1.1KFeb 13, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $407.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 08:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.