Sentimental-Grey
0x4ca3307195dc93aaa29c811e73a1196027e4d3c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.5K
Total PnL
$-639.40
Realised
$8.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
5000 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.0K
$15.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.0K
$8.00
- NO
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$1.0K
$60.00
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.0K
$100.00
- NO
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1000 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.0K
$49.00
- NO
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
500 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$500.00
$155.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
1000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-820.00
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out?
500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-215.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.0KDec 5, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$951.00Dec 5, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.0KDec 5, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$500.02Dec 5, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?$6.7KDec 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$510.90Nov 30, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$1.97Nov 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$140.85Nov 30, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$24.06Nov 29, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$1.32Nov 29, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$61.63Nov 28, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$12.97Nov 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$301.76Nov 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$1.20Nov 28, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$230.42Nov 28, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$21.91Nov 28, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$1.49Nov 28, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$0.64Nov 27, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$6.00Nov 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$6.00Nov 27, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $555.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.