Polished-Exhaustion
0x4ca459119d85e24fb15a2b826784657f5449acd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
300000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
132748 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Solana reach $350 in September?
99995 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 12?
30000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-390.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
17987 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-776.04
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
15136 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-629.36
- YES
Will Solana dip to $210 September 15-21?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 20?
7465 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-14.93
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $280 September 8–14?
574 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$32.01Sep 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.01Sep 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.01Sep 29, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.10Sep 29, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.10Sep 29, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.06Sep 29, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.01Sep 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.01Sep 29, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.03Sep 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.10Sep 29, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.01Sep 29, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.01Sep 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.00Sep 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.00Sep 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.05Sep 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.10Sep 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.01Sep 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.09Sep 29, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.00Sep 29, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$0.03Sep 29, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 29, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".