Glass-Voyage
0x4ca4804018af8ffd819410516a335faeb6c5c467
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$367.30
Total PnL
$-8.57
Realised
$76.83
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
634 shares @ 31.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$199.91
$-0.09
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
480 shares @ 21.0¢·now 24.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$116.13
$15.13
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
215 shares @ 9.3¢·now 9.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.97
$0.97
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?
249 shares @ 9.2¢·now 4.6¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$11.47
$-11.53
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
261 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$11.19
$-14.81
- YES
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
36 shares @ 27.7¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.13
$-3.87
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
296 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-42.70
- CARANO
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
118 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.73May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$205.47May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins$5.13May 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$20.50May 16, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.61May 15, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$253.31May 15, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.62May 15, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.01May 15, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$308.30May 15, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.39May 14, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.37May 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$352.52May 14, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$2.09May 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?$5.23May 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$5.23May 14, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13.07May 14, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.19May 13, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.36May 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.95May 6, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".