Mediocre-Mangrove
0x4caa2aa89b662db9ade00e2fe88e3c983ff6d4f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-856.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?
4924 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$4.9K
$2.8K
- YES
Will Belarus vs. Scotland end in a draw?
10010 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?
3752 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
3555 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 October 27-November 2?
2010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?$37.89Jun 4, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?$18.98Jun 4, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?$11.20Jun 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?$2.1KJun 4, 02:56 UTC
- REWARD$0.37May 20, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?$3.75Dec 2, 07:04 UTC
- REWARD$1.88Dec 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$50.22Nov 30, 13:37 UTC
- REWARD$1.80Nov 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$2.57Nov 29, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$47.26Nov 29, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $260 October 27-November 2?$2.01Nov 2, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eyüpspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?$1.1KOct 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$1.8KOct 4, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$1.3KOct 3, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belarus vs. Scotland end in a draw?$0.10Sep 8, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belarus vs. Scotland end in a draw?$2.25Sep 8, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belarus vs. Scotland end in a draw?$0.75Sep 8, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $881.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 03:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".