Complicated-Warming
0x4cbcb0737f8ff8a068ac5dcf45ec8cb426d20a28
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?
7416 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- NO
Bitcoin all time high in May?
3640 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
889 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-81.04
- CHARGERS
Chargers vs. Chiefs
800 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2024$0.00
$-212.00
- TEXANS
Texans vs. Patriots
316 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-123.43
- BRONCOS
Broncos vs. Colts
175 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-94.45
- JETS
Patriots vs. Jets
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- BRONCOS
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)
49 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-24.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Patriots$123.43Jan 18, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMChargers vs. Broncos$123.43Jan 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYChargers vs. Broncos$83.46Dec 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Jets$10.00Dec 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Broncos (-8.5)$24.94Nov 6, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBroncos vs. Colts$94.45Sep 14, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Broncos (-7.5)$94.45Sep 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Broncos (-7.5)$50.06Sep 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105k in May?$5.0KMay 6, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high in May?$2.8KMay 3, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $98000 on May 2?$2.8KMay 2, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $98000 on May 2?$2.6KMay 1, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2.6KApr 26, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.8KNov 6, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$52.44Nov 6, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$28.60Nov 6, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$28.60Nov 6, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.2KNov 3, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.2KNov 3, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.9KNov 2, 21:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".