Carefree-Dysfunction
0x4cbcc5ce66a5b007dc80bb62cb2d08f6e10ddf50
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$35.60
Total PnL
$-1.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 16?
36 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$35.60
$0.07
- ATHLETICS
Athletics vs. New York Yankees
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
2 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 16?$35.53Apr 15, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on April 15?$35.53Apr 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C or below on April 15?$35.49Apr 14, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 13?$15.50Apr 14, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 12?$20.00Apr 14, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 13?$15.48Apr 13, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 12?$9.96Apr 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 12?$9.97Apr 11, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 47°F or below on April 11?$35.41Apr 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 47°F or below on April 11?$35.37Apr 10, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?$10.00Apr 10, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?$10.00Apr 10, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?$15.38Apr 10, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 9?$15.35Apr 9, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. New York Yankees$2.72Apr 9, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?$9.96Apr 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?$9.98Apr 8, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. New York Yankees$1.00Apr 8, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins$2.52Apr 8, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on April 7?$6.02Apr 8, 03:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $13.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.