Weekly-Lot
0x4cbd4aefb064aa00521d28a1909b60afd4295007
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$311.86
Total PnL
$-699.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
422 shares @ 18.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.59
$-12.41
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1089 shares @ 13.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.08
$-90.91
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
1214 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.17
$-72.24
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
395 shares @ 12.7¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.43
$-6.57
- YES
EU dissolves before 2027?
1278 shares @ 4.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.82
$-17.18
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
482 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.48
$-2.41
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
1222 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.16
$-31.69
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
1070 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.49
$-92.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.79
$1.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.85
$-0.15
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $41.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.