Tight-Twilight
0x4cbde3db4f088d57bc2edaa13de8d6597fed3d51
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
43651 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-169.93
- YES
Will "Motherfucker" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)
5000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
4182 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-670.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?
3542 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-209.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?
2097 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?
1300 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-325.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
1153 shares @ 86.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
863 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
801 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$913.51Feb 27, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$90.00Feb 17, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$60.00Feb 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$784.52Feb 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$60.00Feb 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?$800.00Feb 16, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$30.00Feb 14, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?$843.29Feb 8, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$100.00Feb 5, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$276.94Feb 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$117.86Feb 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$14.25Feb 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$56.43Feb 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$102.79Feb 4, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$0.78Feb 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?$0.95Feb 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?$325.00Feb 3, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Motherfucker" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)$113.45Feb 3, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Motherfucker" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)$1.51Feb 3, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Motherfucker" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)$1.56Feb 3, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $386.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".