Smart-Vibrissae
0x4cbe236437b4b12f0049975c5f1e5b233f2f6043
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$108.84
Total PnL
$-87.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $440?
98 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$98.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
11 shares @ 83.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$10.75
$1.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?
1737 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?
1367 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.94
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
1311 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?
644 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of July 6 above $440?$98.00Jul 10, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$9.07Jul 10, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of June 22 2026?$107.11Jul 10, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of June 22 2026?$107.00Jun 26, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$7.09Jun 26, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or below on June 1?$11.61Jun 26, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$12.21Jun 26, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $110 on June 2?$76.08Jun 26, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $110 on June 2?$76.01Jun 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: QUAZAR vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$5.29Jun 1, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$81.08Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$81.00May 31, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs$1.54May 31, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or below on June 1?$11.60May 31, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill qwen3.7-max-preview have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?$14.08May 31, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$1.00May 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$3.21May 28, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$1.07May 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$5.00May 28, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$1.07May 28, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $50.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.