Complicated-Milepost
0x4cbfe62edc09b311c7f2908810c4512af273fbc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$11.01
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 31?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.00
$4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or higher on June 1?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 1?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 1?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 31?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 31?$8.00May 31, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or higher on June 1?$1.00May 31, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 1?$1.00May 31, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 1?$1.00May 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on May 2?$1.00May 31, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on May 2?$1.00May 31, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on May 2?$1.00May 31, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on May 2?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on May 2?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on May 2?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or higher on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 1?$1.00Apr 30, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".