Rundown-Mastication
0x4cc0097f214a25fd802e3ff016ade0e0e985fada
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$11.74
Win rate
78%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
4213 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
645 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
133 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-37.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
71 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
66 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
65 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-15.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
41 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
32 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
32 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
32 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$20.00Jul 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.35Jul 29, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$21.28Jul 29, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.37Jul 29, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$20.00Jul 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$10.35Jul 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$10.35Jul 28, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$10.05Jul 27, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.18Jul 27, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$20.00Jul 26, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$10.15Jul 26, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$24.15Jul 26, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$10.07Jul 26, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$10.08Jul 25, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$10.38Jul 25, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$21.89Jul 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$10.04Jul 24, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$22.43Jul 24, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$10.26Jul 24, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$20.41Jul 24, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $9.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.