Firm-Sandpaper
0x4ccb1413f612db6813c2964e874fb160fc3fb632
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
794 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$793.56
$43.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
600 shares @ 76.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$600.00
$140.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
380 shares @ 52.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$315.52
$115.60
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
600 shares @ 7.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.30
$-6.90
- YES
Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3707 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
3159 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
1000 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- HANJIN BRION CHALLENGERS
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
400 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-173.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
200 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$384.91May 29, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.84May 28, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.22May 28, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$146.25May 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.12May 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.03May 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.03May 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.65May 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$61.88May 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$9.62May 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 28, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 28, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 28, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.02May 28, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 28, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$25.65May 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 28, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $21.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 23:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".