Livid-Material
0x4cd054f1906c4766862ac3ddc47b96308fc281f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$30.26
Total PnL
$-664.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
30 shares @ 66.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$30.26
$10.26
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
955 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
553 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
403 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-149.70
- YES
Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?
211 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-77.74
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
177 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.77
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson say "Blood Boy" while tripping balls?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- HORNETS
Thunder vs. Hornets
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?$66.60Dec 8, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?$7.40Dec 8, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Lions (-3.5)$10.00Dec 8, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?$3.74Dec 8, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$25.00Dec 5, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$50.00Dec 5, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Raptors$25.00Dec 5, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lions (-3.5)$5.00Dec 5, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$5.00Dec 4, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$10.00Dec 4, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Pelicans$170.93Dec 3, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWizards vs. 76ers$119.88Dec 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Pelicans$350.00Dec 2, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. 76ers$103.20Dec 2, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$50.00Dec 2, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGiants vs. Patriots$399.60Dec 2, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMRed Wings vs. Devils$0.00Dec 2, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMTexas A&M vs. Texas$0.00Dec 2, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Patriots$94.57Dec 2, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Patriots$249.43Dec 2, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $53.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".