Whimsical-Crewmen
0x4cdb0b0bf077944a1b46fce051f146a22bd68183
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$590.25
Total PnL
$-228.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 25?
330 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$330.00
$6.60
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by March 13?
260 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$260.25
$0.77
- YES
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
570 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
551 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?
460 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on July 25?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Jaime Mulet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
398 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
323 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
259 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-199.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$7.50Mar 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$1.29Mar 28, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$4.73Mar 26, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$10.60Mar 25, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$9.30Mar 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by March 13?$259.48Mar 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 25?$323.40Dec 19, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 17 above $170?$250.20Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 1?$270.00Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 1?$269.46Nov 29, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$289.13Nov 29, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$289.71Nov 29, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 17 above $170?$249.75Nov 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaime Mulet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$2.34Nov 9, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$2.20Oct 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?$119.52Oct 29, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?$270.00Oct 28, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Wood' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?$340.10Oct 28, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?$119.64Oct 23, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Utah win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$98.10Oct 14, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $151.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".