Sympathetic-Topsail
0x4cdc1ed5f4ab4a25627cd9a538294157fe0f27be
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-422.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
15120 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-105.84
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?
5779 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?
528 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-77.63
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
355 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.20
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
348 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?
295 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Team Falcons win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump jail Elon Musk?
206 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.05
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
167 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$0.00Oct 5, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$9.26Sep 6, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$21.28Sep 6, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$2.28Sep 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$96.18Aug 16, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$0.15Aug 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$38.12Aug 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$63.01Aug 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$1.09Aug 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$9.89Aug 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$0.10Aug 16, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?$0.00Aug 16, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?$9.68Aug 16, 06:04 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Aug 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$2.78Aug 15, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$1.80Aug 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$114.38Aug 15, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?$1.03Aug 15, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$33.20Aug 15, 02:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.41Aug 15, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $75.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 23:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".