Flickering-Eyeball
0x4cdd089315ad9c7e3b3a8eb2f41e9187d9f61fed
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-236.44
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
18250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-18.25
- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?
15258 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-150.23
- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
15189 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-88.54
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
14000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?
10310 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.61
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?
8957 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.98
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?
8948 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.38
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?
6655 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-115.86
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
5903 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.86
- YES
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 22–August 29?
5535 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-11.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?$14.73Sep 1, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?$14.73Sep 1, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?$58.33Aug 31, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$58.33Aug 31, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$350.00Aug 31, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?$6.58Aug 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?$100.00Aug 31, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?$18.00Aug 31, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?$1.00Aug 30, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?$1.00Aug 30, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?$42.76Aug 30, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?$28.42Aug 30, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 370–384 times August 29–September 5?$34.33Aug 30, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?$10.00Aug 30, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?$30.00Aug 30, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?$29.59Aug 30, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 310–324 times August 29–September 5?$25.60Aug 30, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 325–339 times August 29–September 5?$43.98Aug 30, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?$6.29Aug 30, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?$42.00Aug 30, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $48.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 29, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 1, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".