Flippant-Material
0x4cddd49920108e30745d3f9077e656555f48f86d
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$13.34
Total PnL
$5.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$2.08
$1.08
- NO
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.08
$1.08
- NO
Daniel Penny found guilty?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$2.04
$1.04
- NO
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.92
$0.92
- NO
Will SOL flip XRP again in 2024?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.79
$0.79
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.79
$0.79
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$1.00Dec 26, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$1.00Dec 17, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?$1.00Dec 9, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?$1.00Dec 6, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SOL flip XRP again in 2024?$1.00Dec 5, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$1.00Dec 4, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDaniel Penny found guilty?$1.00Dec 3, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$1.00Dec 2, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".