Bland-Prosecution
0x4cde5708307aba4c91fb32ee6cc0bf972c851287
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$28.49
Total PnL
$-21.18
Realised
$-0.67
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$15.87
$5.87
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
13 shares @ 79.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$12.62
$2.62
- YES
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?
50 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
42 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$10.10Jul 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$10.18Jul 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.38Jul 11, 19:18 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?$19.00Aug 19, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?$0.00Feb 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?$38.50Feb 15, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $17.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.