Frosty-Shark
0x4cdff0ee4ea60f21581e855d0cf65d70bd4ad2e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.03
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Caleb Williams win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$2.01Jan 15, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.00Dec 12, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.01Dec 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Dec 9, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.03Dec 9, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on November 30?$1.00Dec 8, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.00Dec 6, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".