Worthwhile-Dimension
0x4ce3d18095cc13289dfd14b9b60b0439c33831b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-3.03
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?
749 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?
714 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-99.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 2?
613 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?
405 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-84.68
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 23?
292 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-72.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15?
257 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?
234 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-99.85
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 16?
218 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-83.87
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14?
194 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-99.77
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?
183 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.36Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.71Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?$3.80Jun 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?$12.02Jun 26, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?$1.17Jun 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?$39.18Jun 26, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?$30.33Jun 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 27?$1.04Jun 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?$2.36Jun 26, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?$10.78Jun 26, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?$100.00Jun 26, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 25?$1.58Jun 24, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 25?$4.16Jun 24, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 25?$2.40Jun 24, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?$20.80Jun 24, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?$28.21Jun 24, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?$56.24Jun 24, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?$4.23Jun 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?$7.80Jun 23, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?$10.21Jun 23, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.