Modern-Sombrero
0x4ce73141dbfce41e65db3723e31059a730f0abad
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.0M
Realised
$5.2M
Win rate
25%
167 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
29403263 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-902.5K
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
29035566 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-890.9K
- YES
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
28803679 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-883.8K
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
28714195 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-881.1K
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
28443097 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-870.6K
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
27538890 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-842.7K
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
25236637 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-765.4K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
25153897 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-762.7K
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
24420566 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-741.1K
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22697240 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-689.6K
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo prison time for Hunter Biden in gun case? $150.00Dec 6, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? $250.01Dec 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.10Dec 4, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.10Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$3.00Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.41Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.01Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.01Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.02Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.41Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$1.00Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$1.00Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.18Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.01Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.30Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.04Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.10Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.10Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.10Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 6-7%?$0.29Dec 3, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 167 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".