Live-Patriarch
0x4ce856eac7cb6b066e507fc868e0a4c46b91d187
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$20.49
Total PnL
$-12.7K
Realised
$-146.26
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.66
$2.66
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.70
$-2.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
1459 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-494.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
980 shares @ 81.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-795.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
829 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-83.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
792 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-295.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
673 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-295.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$5.00Apr 1, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Apr 1, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$22.30Apr 1, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$20.00Apr 1, 00:59 UTC
- REWARD$8.12Apr 1, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.21Apr 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$110.00Mar 31, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$109.18Mar 31, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$112.07Mar 31, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$112.49Mar 31, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$117.68Mar 31, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$132.09Mar 31, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$129.31Mar 31, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $117.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 04:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".