Friendly-Weather
0x4ce9e7305b5a840c6390eb71150be87a8c9870d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-7.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
1700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$850.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$20.08
$0.08
- FRANCISCO CERUNDOLO
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.74
$0.74
- DIANA SHNAIDER
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kessler
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
1700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-850.00
- YES
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
5 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- SPLITSpurs vs. Thunder$1.7KMay 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs McCartney Kessler$2.01May 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston$2.02May 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYVicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Tommaso Compagnucci$2.02May 28, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 18?$20.00Feb 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$554.44Feb 17, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové end in a draw?$2.35Feb 17, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viborg FF vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?$2.61Feb 17, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?$2.63Feb 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$1.00Feb 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$2.00Feb 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$555.00Feb 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové end in a draw?$2.00Feb 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?$2.00Feb 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viborg FF vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?$2.00Feb 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 15, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?$1.52Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$2.30Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$10.20Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$10.36Feb 15, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $42.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".