Grizzled-Kiosk
0x4cefc838831c0ecbec8628cede370d099ab4959e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-243.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 4?
193 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 3?
187 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?
169 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4?
154 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 3?
142 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 4?
125 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?
107 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?
92 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?
80 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 25?
80 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$12.21Mar 8, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?$6.77Mar 5, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 4?$15.54Mar 5, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?$23.69Mar 5, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?$4.00Mar 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?$4.42Mar 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?$9.60Mar 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$9.42Mar 4, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 3?$25.31Mar 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?$1.10Mar 4, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?$0.90Mar 3, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?$1.44Mar 3, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?$2.05Mar 3, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?$0.25Mar 3, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$0.16Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$0.89Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$0.16Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$0.18Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$0.22Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?$0.30Mar 3, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.