Dark-Pension
0x4cf0f1d857159c5e3fa145e21cea2a058fefb1f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$52.70
Total PnL
$-24.01
Realised
$5.94
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 16?
56 shares @ 7.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.08
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 16?
6 shares @ 26.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.19
$0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 16?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.13
$0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 16?
32 shares @ 9.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.08
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 16?
12 shares @ 27.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.92
$-1.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?
6 shares @ 26.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.88
$0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?
6 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.71
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 16?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.68
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 16?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.65
$0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 16?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.60
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 16?$3.09May 16, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 16?$1.32May 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 16?$1.10May 16, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 16?$1.20May 16, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 16?$0.90May 16, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 16?$0.17May 16, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?$1.74May 16, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$0.28May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?$2.16May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$1.52May 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 16?$0.72May 16, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 16?$1.44May 16, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 16?$1.08May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 16?$1.14May 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 16?$0.70May 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 16?$0.38May 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 16?$0.04May 16, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 16?$1.21May 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 16?$0.74May 16, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 16?$0.42May 16, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".