0x4cf2b2425529619b0d8bf611239e7d8eba1ac58f
0x4cf2b2425529619b0d8bf611239e7d8eba1ac58f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-188.92
Realised
$-15.94
Win rate
0%
136 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
32 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
28 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
28 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
28 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
27 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
23 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
23 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
23 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
23 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$4.00Jun 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.30Jun 28, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.00Jun 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.11Jun 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.17Jun 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.10Jun 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.31Jun 28, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.34Jun 28, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.00Jun 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.76Jun 28, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.43Jun 28, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.00Jun 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.81Jun 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.58Jun 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.07Jun 28, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.00Jun 28, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.72Jun 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.30Jun 28, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jun 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.35Jun 28, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 136 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
136 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 136 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.