Noxious-Forestry
0x4cf3b58d4b9e73a87bff612a24f0b6a95e736904
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$48.81
Total PnL
$-64.96
Realised
$1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?
45 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$40.27
$0.22
- YES
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.04
$4.03
- NO
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.50
$-0.60
- NO
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $39B by June 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?
2108 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-26.25
- NO
Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?
115 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12PM ET
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.01
- NO
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8AM ET
15 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?$5.60May 27, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $39B by June 30?$4.16May 27, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?$40.22May 27, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $39B by June 30?$1.04May 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?$1.05May 27, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?$2.10May 27, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?$2.58May 27, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $85B by June 30?$2.10May 27, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?$5.00May 24, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?$2.85Dec 1, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?$4.38Nov 15, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kazakhstan win on 2025-11-15?$0.61Nov 15, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$11.00Nov 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$0.94Nov 4, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$0.10Nov 4, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$5.28Nov 4, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$4.40Nov 4, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$0.24Nov 4, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.28Nov 4, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$5.00Nov 4, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 8, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".