Idle-Hydrocarbon
0x4cf424c950d4e88e80bc77814ccac992515228be
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$4.13
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- LUCIA BRONZETTI
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$2.08
$0.83
- KNICKS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.05
$0.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
2403 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
2388 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on November 21?
2388 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 21?
2367 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
2363 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- HORNETS
Clippers vs. Hornets
311 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-142.89
- CELTICS
Nuggets vs. Celtics
213 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- OHIO STATE
Miami vs. Ohio State
140 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-106.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lulu Sun vs Claire Liu$1.22May 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzetti$1.26May 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$1.34May 21, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.26Mar 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.74Mar 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.98Mar 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.87Mar 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$41.30Mar 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$33.13Mar 12, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$1.04Mar 12, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$1.14Mar 12, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.99Mar 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$29.85Mar 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$30.00Mar 12, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$30.00Mar 12, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$35.78Mar 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$54.78Mar 12, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$42.86Mar 12, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $24.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".