Likely-Dignity
0x4cf4c002429c1caa3899db210d5c6c4e434e6574
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$164.91
Total PnL
$-114.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2218 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$95.15
$-4.66
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
930 shares @ 10.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$46.50
$-53.50
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$23.26
$13.26
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1156 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
735 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
418 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.67Jun 10, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.68Jun 6, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$10.17May 2, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.49Mar 16, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.76Mar 16, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.45Mar 16, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.99Mar 16, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$13.70Mar 16, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$165.56Mar 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 16, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.00Mar 16, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 16, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 16, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 16, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 16, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $30.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 00:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.