Vain-Blame
0x4cf5445fdd428dc4c98e1e70d4c332932012fc05
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$140.75
Total PnL
$-54.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on May 29?
46 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$46.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 19?
36 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$36.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 14?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$29.61
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on April 11?
29 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$29.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
11000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on May 29?$46.00May 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 19?$36.00Apr 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on April 14?$29.56Apr 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on April 11?$29.00Apr 10, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$8.02Apr 1, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.20 in March?$8.05Apr 1, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$20.08Apr 1, 17:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$28.03Mar 30, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$28.00Mar 26, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on March 16?$35.07Mar 16, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on March 16?$35.00Mar 15, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on March 14?$33.10Mar 14, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on March 14?$33.00Mar 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$20.00Mar 11, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 in March?$8.00Mar 8, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on March 8?$9.03Mar 8, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on March 8?$9.00Mar 8, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$8.00Mar 4, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?$1.00Mar 1, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?$88.09Mar 1, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $714.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".