Unruly-Gender
0x4cf92962836c488cb2d7edc690270d31bd8e46b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$0.88
Total PnL
$-696.10
Realised
$-1.91
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.80
$-0.22
- YES
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $120 in July?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.08
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
990 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
788 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
788 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
762 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
625 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
420 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
386 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
368 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in July?$1.06Jul 11, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.23Jul 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$2.86Jul 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$2.81Jul 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?$0.47Jul 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$4.59Jul 11, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in July?$1.05Jul 6, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of July 6 2026?$2.43Jul 6, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$3.09Jul 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$4.30Jul 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$3.23Jul 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.83Jul 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $120 in July?$1.05Jul 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?$3.62Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?$4.41Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$4.22Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$3.10Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.69Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $120 in July?$0.87Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.83Jul 4, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.