Apprehensive-Discretion
0x4cf96fae1b0b9ca56281f55b8a580074108a0e86
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.54
Realised
$-2.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- CHICAGO STATE COUGARS
Chicago State Cougars vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
377 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
183 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
58 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.92
- MAGIC
Cavaliers vs. Magic
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$1.00Apr 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Mavericks$1.00Mar 24, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 22, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 22, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$4.92Feb 27, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.03Feb 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.09Feb 27, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.11Feb 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.55Feb 24, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$2.00Feb 24, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$10.00Feb 24, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.