Pale-Interpretation
0x4cfb39121a1429723d3bf4f686f4a22f6bbb3990
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$202.95
Total PnL
$-0.31
Realised
$4.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
88 shares @ 47.1¢·now 45.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$39.43
$-1.81
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
35 shares @ 89.6¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.59
$2.60
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
20 shares @ 86.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.84
$0.84
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
8 shares @ 91.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$6.98
$-0.02
- NO
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.22
$0.22
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$30.2010m ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.0018m ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?$1.0924m ago
- REDEEMSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?$1.2224m ago
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?$26.7924m ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$3.1111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$9.0412h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYDOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes by May 31?$1.0112h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$1.0113h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?$0.3213h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$0.0413h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.0613h ago
- TRADEBUYSilver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?$1.0113h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$12.6213h ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?$23.9414h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$10.0014h ago
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.3214h ago
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.6014h ago
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$8.9614h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 10m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
